REIT Valuation Methods

Step 1: Value the FMV (fair market value) of the NOI-generating real estate assets

This is the most important assumption in the NAV. After all, a REIT is a collection of real estate assets – adding them up should give investors a good first step in understanding the overall REIT value.

Process:

• Take the net operating income (“NOI”) generated from the real estate portfolio (usually on a 1-year forward basis) and divide it by an estimated “cumulative” cap rate or, when feasible, by a more detailed appraisal.
• When the information is available (usually, it isn’t), use distinct cap rates and NOI for each region, property type, or even individual properties.

Step 2: Adjust NOI down to reflect ongoing “maintenance” required capex.

REITs must make regular capital investments in their existing properties, which is not captured in NOI, and the result is that Capex is sometimes left out entirely or grossly underestimated in the NAV.

However, ignoring the recurring cost of capex will overstate the valuation, so a proper NAV valuation must reduce the NOI down to the expectation for required annual capital expenditures.

Step 3: Value the FMV of income that isn’t included in NOI

Income streams not included in NOI, like management fees, affiliates and JV Income, also create value and should be included in the NAV valuation.

Typically, this is done by applying a cap rate (which can be different from the rate used to value the NOI-generating real estate) to the income not already included in the NOI.

Step 4: Adjust the value down to reflect corporate overhead

Now that you’ve counted the value of all the assets, make sure to adjust the valuation down by corporate overhead – this is an expense that does not hit NOI and needs to be reflected in the NAV to not overstate the valuation. The common approach is to simply divide the forecast for next year’s corporate overhead by the cap rate.

Step 5. Add any other REIT assets like cash

If the REIT has any cash or other assets not already counted, add them usually at their book values, perhaps adjusted by a premium (or more rarely a discount) as deemed appropriate to reflect market values.

Step 6: Subtract debt and preferred stock to arrive at NAV

Debt, preferred stock and any other non-operating financial claims against the REIT must be subtracted to arrive at equity value.  What’s more, these obligations need to be reflected at fair market value. However, practitioners often simply use book value for liabilities because of the presumed small difference between book and fair value.

At this point, the NAV will arrive at the equity value for the REIT.  The final step is to simply convert this to an equity value per share.

Step 7: Divide by diluted shares

This is the final step to arrive at the NAV per share. For a public REIT, the NAV-derived equity value is compared against the public market capitalization of the REIT. After accounting for potentially justifiable discounts or premiums to NAV, conclusions about whether the REIT’s share price is overvalued or undervalued can then be made.

Conclusion: REIT Valuation Modeling Training

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