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Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)

Guide to Understanding Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

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Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)

What Does Dollar Cost Averaging Mean?

The dollar cost averaging (DCA) strategy is when investors invest their funds in set increments, as opposed to putting all the capital on hand to use immediately.

The rationale behind the dollar cost averaging (DCA) strategy is to be well-positioned for an unexpected downturn in the market without placing too much capital at risk of loss.

If we assume post-purchase, there is short-term market volatility and the price of the purchased asset declines, DCA is designed to provide the investor with the optionality to invest more at the reduced price.

By purchasing more shares at a lower price than the original price, the average price paid per share also declines, which makes it easier to profit since the hurdle (i.e. original share price) has been lowered.

How Dollar Cost Averaging Works (Step-by-Step)

One common mistake made by many investors is attempting to “time the market,” but dollar cost averaging (DCA) can remove the need to time the “top” or “bottom” in the market – which are typically futile attempts, even for investment professionals.

Therefore, DCA saves you the effort of trying to time the market with the optionality to purchase more shares to bring down the average price paid per share – i.e. the “cost basis.”

For investors, especially for value investors and retail investors, the simplicity of DCA can be a useful tool for investing patiently and protects against the impulse to risk the entire amount for higher returns.

Dollar Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Investment: What is the Difference?

The idea behind dollar cost averaging (DCA) is to invest your capital in regular portions over time.

Since the investment was not made as a single lump-sum payment, DCA can lower the cost basis of the investments.

Conversely, if you would have invested the entirety of the amount due in one single payment – i.e. in a poorly timed investment – the only method to bring the cost-basis down is to contribute more capital.

Dollar Cost Averaging Formula

The formula for calculating the average share price paid is as follows:

Average Price Paid Per Share = Amount Invested / Number of Shares

DCA Investing Strategy: Stock Market Example

Average Price Paid Per Share Calculation Analysis

Let’s say that you’re investing in the shares of a company that are currently trading at $10.00 per share.

Rather than spending all of your funds on the purchase, you just buy 10 shares to be conservative, with plans to buy the same number of shares next week.

When next week comes around, the share price has declined to $8.00.

Sticking to the original plan, you purchase 10 shares once again.

The total value of the shares is equal to:

  • Total Value of Shares = ($10 * 10) + ($8 * 10) = $180

In the first week, the average share price is straightforward at $10.00.

But by the second week, the average share price paid for 20 shares is:

  • Average Price Paid Per Share = $180 / 20 = $9.00

DCA Investing Strategy: Investor Rationale and Commitment Process

If an investor commits to dollar-cost averaging (DCA), that means the investor will be purchasing more shares when the market price of the asset (e.g. share price) has declined in value.

DCA can signify that there are turbulent times and market selloffs on the horizon, which can cause investors to be hesitant to “double down” on their bet.

However, when viewed from another perspective, purchasing when the broader market is down is better timing – while it is impossible to know the direction the market is headed, if you still regard your initial assessment as true, it is more profitable to buy at lower prices.

On the other hand, if the share price increases, the next action depends on your estimated fair value of the shares.

  • If the share is still lower than fair value, that means there is remaining upside potential leftover.
  • If the share price is higher than the fair value, the risk of overpaying (i.e. no “margin of safety”) could result in negative/low returns.

Risks of DCA Strategy (Capital Loss)

The noteworthy drawback to the DCA measure is that an investor can miss out on sizable potential gains by investing in only small increments.

For example, a DCA purchase could have been made on a date representing the bottom, so the pricing of a particular security or index from that point onward only increases (i.e. in this case, a lump-sum investment at the start would have yielded higher gross returns than a DCA strategy).

The point is that while DCA can cause investors to miss out on more attractive purchase prices, it is a risk-averse approach to profiting from large market dips – especially when it comes to riskier securities with substantial volatility like options or cryptocurrencies.

Like with all investing, the dollar-cost averaging (DCA) concept is NOT a guaranteed path to profit or to protect against losses.

Share prices can continue to fall, so it is important to note that DCA is a strategy in anticipation of an eventual rebound – and the catalyst for a potential price recovery should first be confirmed.

If not, there is the risk of digging an even deeper hole that results in more money being lost.

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